(HT DawgluvsChesney)
Reason 1: The all powerful bye week.
Finally after so many years Georgia gets a long over-due bye week before they play Florida. A bye week is the biggest advantage you can have going into a game, even greater than home field advantage. Mark Richt is 8-1 in games after bye weeks since 2002, the one loss coming from Auburn in 2005 which the dogs had in hand but Auburn made a big completion off of blown coverage on Georgia’s defense to win the game 31-30 (the image is still scorched into my retina).
Reason 2: Florida does not have a bye week.
The last 5 out of 6 meetings in Jacksonville the Gators have had a bye week before they played Georgia. The Gators took all those games except for the one game where neither team had a bye week in 2004; the Bulldogs won 31-24. In addition, all those games were decided by 7 points or less. If Georgia can keep it that close with Florida coming off a bye week, imagine what they’ll do when the tables a turned.
Reason 3: Florida’s Defense is just not good enough to stop Georgia.
Florida’s pass defense is not going to be able to keep Stafford under control, he’s going to pick them apart. Florida’s has an okay running D but lets face it Georgia’s going to run enough to make them respect the run and that’s all a talented QB really needs to pick apart a weak secondary. But I don’t want to make Georgia’s running game not sound like much of a factor, Moreno is a very talented running back and I don’t think Florida’s seen a running back quite like him all year. It’ll be interesting to see how they handle him.
Now on the flip side Georgia’s defense is good. March Richt wrote the book on having a running QB and I’m sure he’s got a nice game plan on how to keep Tebow under control. The Bulldogs talented secondary won’t allow too many big plays through the air either.
The 4th and final Reason why Georgia will beat Florida is because Georgia just plain wants it more:
So far this season Georgia’s been having a lot of problems with executing and it seems like there’s two different Georgia teams. But history shows that Georgia always comes ready to play when they go to Jacksonville for the biggest game of the season and they WILL be ready to play. Both Florida and Georgia have young teams this year and this game will probably tell us a lot about what’s going to happen in the years to come. This game will be close, it always is but this year is Georgia’s year. I saw a very frustrated and pissed off Mark Richt after the Vanderbilt game and he’s going to have his team focussed and motivated when Saturday rolls around. I expect Georgia to get back to some old fashion hard nosed football and I think a lot of Gator fans should start preparing for an upset.
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